The direction of the stock market after a big pump: An analysis from the perspectives of fundamentals, policies, and valuations.
Since the end of September, the Chinese stock market has experienced a significant rise. Financial policies and political meetings have exceeded expectations, boosting market sentiment, with strong rebounds in both the A-shares and Hong Kong stock markets, standing out in the global markets. However, after the holiday, under overly optimistic general expectations, the market turned to decline. So, is this round of market activity a flash in the pan or has it truly bottomed out? This article will analyze from three perspectives: the domestic economic fundamentals, policies, and the overall valuation levels of the stock market.
1. Fundamentals
Overall, the domestic fundamentals remain relatively weak. Although there have been some signs of marginal improvement, no significant turning points have been observed yet. During the holiday period, consumption sentiment has improved both year-on-year and month-on-month, but this has not yet been reflected in the main economic indicators. It is expected that in the coming quarters, China's economic growth may show a moderate recovery trend with the support of policies.
In September,