The long positions safe zone and ladder pressure game strategy after the Ethereum neckline breakout

The core logic and the safety margin of the neckline position

• The key significance of the neckline at 3516: After a breakout at this level on the 4-hour chart, as long as it does not fall below, long positions will be in the "safe zone"—this is the core of judging the continuation of the short-term trend. If it holds, the upward momentum can be sustained; if it breaks, it will return to the risk of a correction.

• The path of a stepped upward attack: After breaking through 3577 dollars on an hourly basis, the target clearly points to 3615→3650 dollars. The resistance levels are clear, and each breakthrough of a step opens up new space. Conversely, if there is resistance, a slight pullback may occur, but it does not change the long positions tone.

Key Point Trading Strategy

• Long positions conditions:

1. Volume breakout at $3556 → chase long positions on the right side, target $3577 → $3615, recover stop loss;

2. Pull back to confirm support at $3453 → light positions to try long, stop loss if it breaks below $3428;

3. Left side long positions set at $3370, stop loss if it falls below $3341 (deep pullback low absorption, requires extreme market conditions);

4. Stand firm at $3615 → increase long positions, aim for $3650, rely on the neck line support at $3516.

• Short selling conditions:

1. Volume drops below $3501 → short on the right side, target $3520 → $3453, unable to recover stop loss on the pullback;

2. Short sell lightly at $3650, stop loss at $3680 if broken (resistance level for short selling, need confirmation of weakness in long positions);

3. If it breaks below 3516 USD on the 4-hour level → add to short positions, looking down at 3400 USD. If the neckline breaks, then shift to defense.

Operation Discipline of Patterns and Security Zones

• The principle of holding the safe zone:

◦ As long as it does not break 3516 USD, do not easily look for short positions; treat pullbacks as long positions accumulation and take the opportunity to buy low; if it breaks, immediately adjust the strategy and give up the fantasy of long positions;

• Rational response to resistance levels:

◦ 3650 USD is a strong short-term resistance. If the momentum is insufficient during the breakout, it is advisable to take partial profits on long positions to avoid a volatile market, and wait to follow up after the breakout.

Summary: Ethereum short-term long positions are dominant, core operation: follow up on long positions relying on the breakthrough at 3556 USD, closely monitor the defense at the neckline of 3516, exercise caution when chasing highs around 3650 USD, and maintain long positions as long as the safety zone is not breached.