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Analyst Liang Qiu: 7.15 CPI Data Sparks ETH Surge Amid Bitcoin Stagnation — Is This the Final Frenzy for Ethereum?

As the CPI data dropped on the morning of July 15, both Bitcoin and Ethereum showed volatile moves, but with sharply different trajectories. While Ethereum staged a quick upward push to around 3066, Bitcoin remained locked in a sideways consolidation, failing to recover from its earlier 7,000-point decline from yesterday’s high.

For traders following our daytime strategy, those who missed the exit should now consider averaging down ETH positions under favorable conditions and remain alert for evening retracements. Ethereum’s sharp bounce appears more like a fleeting spark than the beginning of a new rally. The real focal point remains Bitcoin, as ETH often lags BTC’s larger moves and historically follows uptrends with sharper corrections.

> “Every rally that lacks broad confirmation is a warning in disguise.”

From a pattern perspective, Ethereum’s inability to hold above the 3000 level earlier and the short entry that followed suggest a technically sound reaction. No major red flags for now, but caution is warranted. In the short term, traders are advised to short BTC/ETH around 117600 and 3050 respectively, with downside targets at 116000 for Bitcoin and around 2940 for Ethereum.

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📊 Morning Market Recap:

Bitcoin (BTC): Max intraday high at 120530; continues sideways with weakening momentum.

Ethereum (ETH): Range-bound between 2980–3017 in the morning, followed by a sharp evening rise.

Despite the optimism triggered by macroeconomic data, the market shows signs of transition — from unilateral strength to cautious consolidation. Support levels remain solid, and post-retracement buying interest is still present, especially near the short-term moving averages. Sentiment, while cooled, is not bearish, suggesting the possibility of a continued upward oscillation after current profit-taking is digested.

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🔧 Trading Strategy (Short-Term Outlook):

Bitcoin: Buy zone: 119000–119500 → Target: 122000

Ethereum: Buy zone: 2980 → Target: 3080

Evening Short Positions: BTC near 117600 / ETH near 3050 → Targets: 116000 (BTC) & 2940 (ETH)

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🔔 Risk Disclaimer: The above analysis is for reference only. Market behavior is subject to real-time change. Please operate cautiously and assume trading risks independently.

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Final Thoughts:
Do not be misled by short-term surges. The fog of volatility often hides both risk and opportunity. Those who succeed are not the ones who follow the crowd, but those who remain firm in long-term conviction. When fear makes others retreat, be the one who acts with clarity and courage.

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